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OTHERClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026No edge▲ 1.00¢BTCBitcoin above $76,000 on September 5Yes edge▲ 1.95¢ETHEthereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026Yes edge▼ 3.00¢SOLSolana above $110 on September 7No edge▼ 0.25¢XRPXRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026No edge▲ 5.00¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026Yes edge▲ 0.50¢BNBBNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 7.50¢BTCBitcoin above $78,000 on September 5Yes edge▲ 16.75¢OTHERClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026No edge▲ 1.00¢BTCBitcoin above $76,000 on September 5Yes edge▲ 1.95¢ETHEthereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026Yes edge▼ 3.00¢SOLSolana above $110 on September 7No edge▼ 0.25¢XRPXRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026No edge▲ 5.00¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026Yes edge▲ 0.50¢BNBBNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 7.50¢BTCBitcoin above $78,000 on September 5Yes edge▲ 16.75¢
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Crypto markets/Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
BTCactive01/01

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

Markets
1
Assets
BTC
24H Vol
$0
Liquidity
$4k
Browse BTC5 Min15 MinHourlyDailyWeeklyMonthly

Choose an outcome

1 active · 0 resolved

Trading
Level24H Vol / LiquidityYES priceBuy YesBuy No
BTC
BTC · Other

Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $4kResolution: 01/01
YES price2.5%
Buy Yes2.5¢
Buy No97.6¢
Order bookChartRules
No 97.6¢
Asks
PriceSharesTotal
97.6¢304$297
97.7¢261$552
97.8¢100$650
98.2¢34$683
98.3¢100$782
98.8¢100$880
99.3¢100$980
99.6¢194$1.2k
Bids
PriceSharesTotal
97.5¢55$54
96.5¢5.82$60
96.4¢67$124
96.3¢229$345
96¢20$364
91.8¢300$639
90.1¢114$742
90¢35$773
Last trade: 97.5¢

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Lean —
Amount
$
Balance: --
Estimate
Price: 97.6¢
Quote · 10s97.6¢
Shares
5.1
Max return
$5.12
Profit if right+$0.12
Loss limit$5.00
ROI+2.5%
Price protection≤ 97.7¢
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