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BTCBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 1.00¢ETHEthereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 2.00¢OTHERVariational FDV above $1B one day after launchYes edge▼ 2.00¢XRPXRP reach $4.00 in OctoberNo edge99.85¢SOLSolana above $100 on October 23Yes edge▲ 14.50¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 5.00¢BTCBitcoin above $80,000 on October 21Yes edge▲ 14.25¢ETHEthereum above $2,500 on October 21No edge▼ 4.00¢BTCBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 1.00¢ETHEthereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 2.00¢OTHERVariational FDV above $1B one day after launchYes edge▼ 2.00¢XRPXRP reach $4.00 in OctoberNo edge99.85¢SOLSolana above $100 on October 23Yes edge▲ 14.50¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 5.00¢BTCBitcoin above $80,000 on October 21Yes edge▲ 14.25¢ETHEthereum above $2,500 on October 21No edge▼ 4.00¢
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Crypto markets/Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?
OTH
OTHERactive01/01

Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Markets
8
Assets
OTHER
24H Vol
$20
Liquidity
$47k
Browse OTHER5 Min15 MinHourlyDailyWeeklyMonthly

Choose an outcome

8 active · 0 resolved

Trading
Level24H Vol / LiquidityYES priceBuy YesBuy No
↑ 400
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $53Resolution: 01/01
YES price11.7%
Buy Yes11.7¢
Buy No90.4¢
Order bookChartRules
No 90.4¢
Asks
PriceSharesTotal
90.4¢31$28
92.2¢15$42
93.8¢5.00$47
95¢5.00$51
95.6¢40$89
96¢5.00$94
98¢5.00$99
98.1¢15$113
Bids
PriceSharesTotal
86.2¢10$8.62
41¢73$39
1.2¢31$39
1.1¢120$40
1¢200$42
0.1¢25$42
Last trade: 0¢
↑ 1
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $160Resolution: 01/01
YES price2.9%
Buy Yes2.9¢
Buy No97.1¢
↑ 50
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $20Liquidity: $13kResolution: 01/01
YES price10%
Buy Yes10¢
Buy No90¢
↑ 100
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $9kResolution: 01/01
YES price15.35%
Buy Yes15.35¢
Buy No84.65¢
↑ 200
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $12kResolution: 01/01
YES price13.2%
Buy Yes13.2¢
Buy No86.8¢
↑ 300
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $13kResolution: 01/01
YES price12.55%
Buy Yes12.55¢
Buy No87.45¢
↑ 500
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $19Resolution: 01/01
YES price7.1%
Buy Yes7.1¢
Buy No92.9¢
↑ 800
OTHER · Price

Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $257Resolution: 01/01
YES price11.7%
Buy Yes11.7¢
Buy No88.3¢
Choose outcome
Lean —
Amount
$
Balance: --
Estimate
Price: 90.4¢
Quote · 10s90.4¢
Shares
5.5
Max return
$5.53
Profit if right+$0.53
Loss limit$5.00
ROI+10.6%
Price protection≤ 90.5¢
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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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