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BTCBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 1.00¢ETHEthereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 2.00¢OTHERVariational FDV above $1B one day after launchYes edge▼ 2.00¢XRPXRP reach $4.00 in OctoberNo edge99.85¢SOLSolana above $100 on October 23Yes edge▲ 14.50¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 5.00¢BTCBitcoin above $80,000 on October 21Yes edge▲ 13.45¢ETHEthereum above $2,500 on October 21No edge▼ 4.00¢BTCBitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 1.00¢ETHEthereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 2.00¢OTHERVariational FDV above $1B one day after launchYes edge▼ 2.00¢XRPXRP reach $4.00 in OctoberNo edge99.85¢SOLSolana above $100 on October 23Yes edge▲ 14.50¢HYPEHyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026No edge▼ 5.00¢BTCBitcoin above $80,000 on October 21Yes edge▲ 13.45¢ETHEthereum above $2,500 on October 21No edge▼ 4.00¢
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Crypto markets/Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
BTCactive01/01

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Markets
4
Assets
BTC
24H Vol
$0
Liquidity
$20k
Browse BTC5 Min15 MinHourlyDailyWeeklyMonthly

Choose an outcome

1 active · 3 resolved

Trading
Level24H Vol / LiquidityYES priceBuy YesBuy No
BTC
BTC · Other

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

24H Vol: $0Liquidity: $20kResolution: 01/01
YES price2.5%
Buy Yes2.5¢
Buy No98.5¢
Order bookChartRules
No 98.5¢
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
Resolution date: Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 AM UTC
Outcome shown after resolution.

Resolved results

3 closed outcomes

BTCAug 1, 2026, 03:59 AM UTC
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31?
Resolved
BTCMay 1, 2026, 03:59 AM UTC
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?
Resolved
BTCJul 1, 2026, 03:59 AM UTC
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Resolved

Rules

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

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Lean —
Amount
$
Balance: --
Estimate
Price: 98.5¢
Quote · 10s98.5¢
Shares
5.1
Max return
$5.08
Profit if right+$0.08
Loss limit$5.00
ROI+1.5%
Price protection≤ 98.6¢
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